Cambios en la distribución de cultivos y producciones ganaderas en España inducidos por la nueva PAC

Lucinio Júdez; Mª del Rosario de Andrés; Miguel Ibáñez; Elvira Urzainqui; José Luis Miguel

doi:10.3989/estgeogr.0431

Authors

Lucinio Júdez Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros Agrónomos, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid.
Mª del Rosario de Andrés Instituto de Economía, Geografía y Demografía, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas
Miguel Ibáñez Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros Agrónomos, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid.
Elvira Urzainqui Instituto de Economía, Geografía y Demografía, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas
José Luis Miguel Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieros Agrónomos, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3989/estgeogr.0431

Keywords:

Common Agricultural Policy, representative farm models, Spanish agricultural sector, crop and livestock distribution

Abstract

This paper analyses the impact on the Spanish agricultural sector of the CAP decoupling measures of direct payments for different crop areas and livestock.

The study is based in the 2002 data from the Spanish Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) and the simulated results are obtained with the mathematical programming model PROMAPA. The predicted changes in prices between the years 2002 and 2013 were those provided by the European Simulation Model (ESIM).

The results obtained permit the comparison of the variation in the crop distribution and of the different types of livestock between the base year 2002 and the simulated year 2013 in the event of the implementation of a partial decoupling policy —as adopted in Spain in 2006— or a full decoupling policy which is under consideration at the moment.

This paper also compares the variations which appear in the two types of decoupling with those that would be obtained in the even of a continuation of the Agenda 2000 measures.

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